The surge in population is both a
cause of the changed relationship and one of the clearest illustrations of how
startling the change has been, especially when viewed in a historical context.
From the emergence of modern humans 200,000 years ago until Julius Caesar's
time, fewer than 250 million people walked on the face of the earth. When
Christopher Columbus set sail for the New World 1,500 years later, there were
approximately 500 million people on earth. By the time Thomas Jefferson wrote
the Declaration of Independence in 1776, the number had doubled again, to I
billion. By midway through this century, at the end of World War II, the number
had risen to just above 2 billion people.
In Other words, from the beginning
of humanity's appearance on earth to 1945, it took more than ten thousand
generations to reach a world population of 2 billion people. Now, in the course
of one human lifetime - mine - the world population will increase from 2 to
more than 9 billion, and it is already more than halfway there.
Overpopulation is often defined as
the condition of having more people than can live on Earth in comfort,
happiness, and health and still leave the planet a fit place for future
generations. To most environmentalists, the data suggest that the planet is
already overpopulated. Because of differing concepts of carrying capacity,
however, experts differ widely over what level of population is considered too
high.
Some project that if everyone
existed at a minimum survival level, the earth could support 20 to 48 billion
people. This anthill existence would require that everyone exist only on a diet
of grain, cultivation all arable land, and mining much of the earth's crust of
a depth of 1.6 kilometers (1 mile). Other analysts believe the earth could
support 7 to 12 billion people at a decent standard of living by distributing
the world's land and food supply more equitably and shifting from less abundant
resources (such as lead, tin, uranium, oil, and natural gas) to more abundant
resources (such as aluminum, glass, and various forms of solar energy).
Others opposed to population
regulation feel that all people should have the freedom to have as many
children as they want. To some, population regulation is a violation of their
deep religious beliefs. To others, it is an intrusion into their personal
privacy and freedom. To minorities, population regulation is sometimes seen as
a form of genocide to keep their numbers and power from rising.
Proponents of population regulation
point to the fact that we are not providing adequate basic necessities for one
out of five people on Earth today who don't have the opportunity to be a net
economic gain for their country. They see people overpopulation in MDCs (more
developed countries) as threats to Earth's life support systems for us and
other species.
These analysts recognize that
population growth is not the only cause or our environmental and resource
problems. They believe, however, that adding several hundred million more
people in MDCs and several billion more in LDSs (less developed countries) will
intensify many environmental and social problems by increasing resource use and
waste, environmental degradation, rapid climate change, and pollution. To
proponents of population regulation, it is unethical for us not to encourage a
sharp drop in birth rates and unsustainable forms of resource use to prevent a
sharp rise in death rates and human misery and a decrease in Earth's
biodiversity in the future. Despite promises about sharing the world's wealth,
the gap between the rich and poor has been getting larger since 1960.
Proponents of population regulation believe this is caused by a combination of
population growth and unwillingness of the wealthy to share the world's wealth
and resources more fairly. They call for MDCs to use their economic systems to
reward population regulation and sustainable forms of economic growth instead
of continuing their unsustainable forms of economic growth and encouraging LDCs
to follow this eventually unsustainable and disastrous path for the planet.
Recently, the Population Crisis
Committee complied a human suffering index for each of 130 countries based on
ten measures of human welfare. They found a high correlation between the level
of human suffering and the rate of population increase in countries. The 30
countries falling in the extreme human-suffering range--all in Africa and
Asia--averaged a high annual rate of population increase of 2.8%. The 44
countries with a high human suffering rate--all in Africa, Asia, and Latin
America--also had an average annual population increase of 2.8%.
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